The present credit crisis, and some advice to banks
The most basic human needs are food and electricity. People spend money first on food and on keeping their houses warm/cold, and a good government should also make sure that the prices of these commodities are low-not by artificially controlling prices, but by increasing their production.
Credit must flow freely to farmers-the worst thing is if they cut down on food production. Chicago grain prices are at levels where it is not making sense for farmers to plant more. These prices are set by ponzi hedge funds who are trend followers-they buy high and sell low, causing increases in volatility. They are going bankrupt now, and selling wheat and soybeans at production costs. These prices will go up soon; however, the longer they stay lower, the more hesitant farmers in the US will become to plant in the next season.
Because central banks and banks are based often in big cities like NYC and Washington DC, they seem to be happy loaning funds around where they are-in big cities. To bail out housing in suburbs of Washington DC by putting capital of banks or tax payers in mortgages, or to help farmers plant more food? The answer is obvious. Even commercial paper of corporations should rank lower than helping finance farmers to plant more food.
Sanjay
Labels: fertilizer, general commentary

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